The Houston Astros are 43-25. They lead the AL West by 10 games. It’s an incredible start.
They are still 7.5 games behind the New York Yankees for the best record in the American League.
The Astros and Yankees start a series on Thursday. It’s a showdown between the division chiefs, but it’s hard to see the two teams on equal footing.
The Yankees are 51-18, an absolutely incredible record as we approach the middle of the season. The Yankees are -130 favorites over the Astros at BetMGM, and maybe that’s not short enough. It’s not like anyone beat the Yankees lately. They are on pace for 120 wins. The 1906 Chicago Cubs and 2001 Seattle Mariners share the single-season record with 116 wins.
Obviously, the Yankees have also been good for bettors. Covers.com tracks how much money a team would make for a hypothetical bettor who bets $100 on every game, and the Yankees would have made a profit of $1,414 for that bettor. It’s the highest rating in baseball, which is impressive considering the Yankees are generally favored and often have to lay a lot of them. But they keep winning, regardless of the odds.
Maybe the Astros can slow the Yankees down. They’re a good team, with Framber Valdez and his 2.78 ERA on the mound Thursday. But it’s really hard to bet against the Yankees this season. Bettors lost a lot of money if they tried.
Here’s the first look at the sports betting slate for Thursday:
College World Series has a big game
Oklahoma has a spot in the final College World Series championship series. Ole Miss nearly caught up with them, but they couldn’t tie Wednesday’s game against Arkansas despite loading in the ninth inning. Arkansas won, setting up a win-win game on Thursday. The winner meets Oklahoma for the CWS Championship. Arkansas is a small favorite to beat Ole Miss again and advance.
The WNBA has four games
There’s a WNBA four-game pack, if you don’t like baseball. The best game is the Washington Mystics at the Seattle Storm. The Storm is a 2.5 point favorite.
MLB has 10 games
The biggest MLB 10 game, other than the Astros-Yankees, is the final game of the NL Central showdown between the St. Louis Cardinals and Milwaukee Brewers. The teams tied for first place, with Milwaukee winning the first game and then St. Louis winning the next two games. The Brewers are a slight -115 favorite in the final game, which has big ramifications in the standings.
What is the best bet?
It seems square to take the Yankees, especially when they’re favored pretty much every night. But when an MLB team is winning 73.9% of the time, it’s okay to keep betting on them until they calm down. Let’s go with the Yankees to keep rolling against the Astros.